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Validation framework for epidemiological models with application to COVID-19 models.

PLoS Comput Biol · 2023 · PMC10057797 · PMID 36989251

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
Looking at the average errors, there is a less of a decreasing trend for hospitalization predictions than for the death predictions.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.