Quantifying the role of antecedent Southwestern Indian Ocean capacitance on the summer monsoon rainfall variability over homogeneous regions of India.

Despite no long-term secular change, few studies show a decreasing trend of AISMR rainfall over CI.

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Due to this effect, the extreme monsoon rainfall events show an increasing trend, and moderate to low rainfall events show decreasing trend 114 – 116 .

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It shows a positive trend of 7–10 cm in 27 years over the southwestern Indian Ocean, including the Seychelles-Tangos thermocline dome and southern Indian Ocean (Fig. 16 c).

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