Robust projection of East Asian summer monsoon rainfall based on dynamical modes of variability.

S1 ), a positive trend in the NM2 index in the future (Fig.

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The two-component partitioning of the uncertainty should be distinguished from the three-component partitioning reported in the literature 20 , 40 , which often shows a decreasing trend in the fractional contribution from the internal variability uncertainty due to the rapidly diverging scenarios after the mid-21st century.

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