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Predicting of elderly population structure and density by a novel grey fractional-order model with theta residual optimization: a case study of Shanghai City, China.

BMC Geriatr · 2023 · PMC10504713 · PMID 37716937

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
The aging of population in Shanghai presents the following characteristics: high degree of aging, serious aging phenomenon, aging coefficient increasing year by year, aging rate of registered permanent population is significantly higher than that of the whole city, elderly migrant population shows an increasing trend, and there is a large gap between aging and social development level.

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