The weekly P25 of the age of the influenza-like illness shows a higher correlation with COVID-19 mortality than rapid tests and could predict the evolution of COVID-19 pandemics in sentinel surveillance, Piura, Perú, 2021.

PLoS One · 2024 · PMC10919873 · PMID 38452053

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closest p · 0.2× alpha

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a decreasing trendp < 0.01actually significant

Then, when applying a polynomial regression of degree 2, a significant forecast estimate of a decreasing trend of the pandemic was found (multiple R-squared: 0.351, adjusted R-squared: 0.337, F-statistic: 24.84 on 2 and 92 DF, p < 0.01).

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