Changing trends in human brucellosis in pastoral and agricultural China, 2004-2019: a Joinpoint regression analysis.

BMC Infect Dis · 2025 · PMC11792675 · PMID 39901073

Europe PMC DOI

hedged sentences

0.0010

closest p · 0.0× alpha

0.0860

boldest claim

The sentences

a decreasing trendP < 0.001actually significant

Joinpoint regression analysis showed an increasing trend from January to May for the whole population (APC = 22.7%, 95% CI: 8.2–39.2%, P = 0.006) and a decreasing trend from May to December (APC = -19.1%, 95% CI: -23.3% ~-14.7%, P < 0.001).

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an increasing trendP = 0.086so close (0.05 < p ≤ 0.1)

Joinpoint regression analysis of annual incidence showed an overall increasing trend from 2004 to 2019 for the Chinese population as a whole (AAPC = 6.2%, 95% CI: 2.5-10.1%, P = 0.001) with the turning point of the trend change in 2014 (95% CI: 2011–2016), giving an increasing trend from 2014 to 2019 (APC = -8.1%, 95% CI: -16.7–1.4%, P = 0.086).

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