Forecasting stroke and stroke-driven dementia in a rapidly ageing population: a model-based analysis of alternative projection scenarios for Ireland.

14 Evidence of an increasing trend in age-specific incidence (+1% annually) has been identified in younger populations globally (age <40 years), but not in European countries. 49 Given the evidence for less favourable trends in incidence for ages under 55 years, 14 as part of the base case we explored scenarios with a declining trend for ages of 55+ years, and a stable trend for age <55 years.

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