Prediction of monthly occurrence number of scrub typhus in Ganzhou City, China, based on SARIMA and BPNN models.

Infect Dis Model · 2025 · PMC11894303 · PMID 40070443

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an increasing trendno p-value reported

In this study, the trend of occurrence decreased since 2018, but exhibited an increasing trend once again in 2023.

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported

The results indicated that the occurrence of scrub typhus in Ganzhou City is expected to remain low during this period, demonstrating a decreasing trend.

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