Nevertheless, in the presence of a positive trend in EEI, natural fluctuations that perturb the global energy budget—such as those associated with ENSO cycles—will sooner or later have larger and sometimes record-breaking impacts, including on surface temperatures, because the associated EEI anomalies will be larger than they were in the past.
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Global and regional drivers for exceptional climate extremes in 2023-2024: beyond the new normal.
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