Most European countries will miss EU targets on antibacterial use by 2030: historical analysis of European and OECD countries, comparison of community and hospital sectors and forecast to 2040.

Prediction of consumption in the total care sector until 2040: European countries with a decreasing trend For 16 countries, the ARIMA(1,1,1) model predicts a decline by 2040 (Table 3 , Fig. 6 ).

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Prediction of consumption in the total care sector until 2040: European countries with an increasing trend The ARIMA(1,1,1) model was used to project all European countries, except the UK, for the years following the latest reported data up to 2040.

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