Barely Significant
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Disentangling climate and policy uncertainties for the Colorado River post-2026 operations.

Nat Commun · 2025 · PMC12479936 · PMID 41022724

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
S7 ), all GCMs project a decreasing trend in runoff due to increased evapotranspiration from increased temperatures.

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
While there appears to be an increasing trend in the difference between Mead release and LB consumptive use, the record is too short for the trend to be conclusive, so for years after 2003 (thus including the entire future projection period), we calculate the Mead release by adding the average difference between Mead release and LB consumptive

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