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Forecasting malaria incidence in a resource-limited urban setting with climate variables as exogenous regressors: time series analysis using a SARIMAX model in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

Malar J · 2026 · PMC12922243 · PMID 41680859

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
It revealed an increasing trend, as evidenced by the in-sample fit, out-of-sample forecast and future prediction values, which consistently increased over the prediction horizon.

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