Aiming Higher to Test a Bend in the Curve of Biodiversity Loss: The Challenge of Halt-The-Loss Targets.

Finally, we looked at the number of years' data with a positive trend that would be required to detect a ‘bending of the curve’.

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Values above 50% indicate that an increasing trend is more likely than a decreasing trend.

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Whereas a target for an increasing trend implies a test against the null hypothesis of no change, a ‘halt‐the‐loss’ target cannot be assessed this way (Dixon and Pechmann 2005 ; Schmidt and Meyer 2008 ; Smith 2020 ).

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