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Lagged effect of temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence in Colombia (2013-2023): An approach with Bayesian spatiotemporal adjustment.

PLOS Glob Public Health · 2026 · PMC12970859 · PMID 41801975

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
Meanwhile, the overall cumulative association of weekly rainfall and malaria cases showed a decreasing trend ( Fig 2b ), with a global EMR of 0.85 mm of precipitation.

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
The overall cumulative association of weekly temperature (i.e., the association centered at the global EMR) and malaria cases showed an increasing trend ( Fig 2a ).

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.