Potential impacts of landuse changes on the supply-demand relationship of water resources in semiarid loess hilly regions.

By 2030, approximately 90% of the city’s area will experience a Grade III (endangered) water supply risk; however, the risk level shows a decreasing trend over time.

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In Grade IV (hazardous) risk areas, all scenarios showed an increasing trend, specifically a 1.44% increase under the FSS and a 1.2% rise under the NIS, and their spatial evolution paths were characterized by the three-stage feature of central agglomeration–axial diffusion–piecewise spreading.

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