Citizen Science Tick Observations Serve as an Early Warning System for Tick-Borne Diseases.

Residuals of tick observations were likewise highly significant [estimate = 0.8 ± 0.04 (SE), z ‐value = 18.7, p < 0.0001], further highlighting that tick observations contain unique variation beyond seasonality influencing disease case numbers.

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As such, a seasonal term with a single peak is suitable for capturing the general annual trend, showing increasing tick activity with increasing temperatures until roughly July, then a decreasing trend towards the end of the year.

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