Barely Significant
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Copper resource trade resilience under the belt and road initiative: Who leads, who lags?

iScience · 2026 · PMC13320558 · PMID 42389589

3
hedged sentences
0.0910
closest p · 1.8× alpha
0.1090
boldest claim

The sentences

borderline significancep = 0.091so close (0.05 < p ≤ 0.1)
Moran’s I rise to a higher band (about 0.059-0.094), and borderline significance emerges in key years (e.g., 2011 p = 0.091; 2017 p = 0.089).

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marginal significancep = 0.109not close (p > 0.1)
Although 2006 approaches marginal significance ( p = 0.109), the overall evidence suggests that spatial clustering had not yet become a stable structural feature during this phase.

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marginally significantno p-value reported
After 2021, Moran’s I declines gradually, yet it stays positive and is still marginally significant at the 10% level in 2022-2023.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.