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Overdiagnosis from non-progressive cancer detected by screening mammography: stochastic simulation study with calibration to population based registry data.

BMJ · 2011 · PMC3222945 · PMID 22113564

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
The lifetime probability of cancer incorporated the possibility of a baseline incidence for women born in 1900 as well as an increasing trend in incidence for women born from 1900 to 1950.

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