How to interpret the transmissibility of novel influenza A(H7N9): an analysis of initial epidemiological data of human cases from China.

We assume that f n follows a geometric distribution, because we assume an increasing trend in the number of primary cases with bird contact as a function of time in Figure 1 A and we would like to parameterize it as a linear (exponential) growth using only one parameter while modelling it in discrete unit of time (i.e. by generation of cases).

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