Personality, Cognitive Style, Motivation, and Aptitude Predict Systematic Trends in Analytic Forecasting Behavior.

J Cogn Eng Decis Mak · 2014 · PMC4361467 · PMID 25983670

Europe PMC DOI

hedged sentence

0.0800

closest p · 1.6× alpha

0.0800

boldest claim

The sentences

marginally significantp < .08so close (0.05 < p ≤ 0.1)

Using these criteria, we found that sampling criteria using the SNS, the CRT, and SAT Math questions produced marginally significant ( p < .08) improvements in subsample-wide forecasting accuracy without significant change in confidence.

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