Barely Significant
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Estimating HIV Incidence, Time to Diagnosis, and the Undiagnosed HIV Epidemic Using Routine Surveillance Data.

Epidemiology · 2015 · PMC4521901 · PMID 26214334

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
Since 2000, HIV incidence steadily increased and reached levels comparable with those in the mid-1980s by 2005, followed by a decreasing trend to 590 (400, 780) new infections in 2011.

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