Using hepatitis C prevalence to estimate HIV epidemic potential among people who inject drugs in the Middle East and North Africa.

AIDS · 2015 · PMC4541475 · PMID 26372281

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an increasing trendno p-value reported

Although HIV prevalence in Pakistan showed an increasing trend from 10.8% in 2005 to 25.2% in 2011 [ 79 – 82 ], our predictions suggest that the HIV epidemic could be reaching saturation with limited potential for further growth.

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