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Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability.

Malar J · 2015 · PMC4623260 · PMID 26502881

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
It is also apparent from the results that the recurrent updating of parameters (approach 2) works better in those districts whose non-stationarity consists of a decreasing rather than an increasing trend.

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