Based on the year scale, there is clearly an increasing trend in NPS emissions from the dry period to the wet period: i.e., the variance in the wet-season was 1,362, 5,985, and 9,311 kg for dry, normal, and wet years, respectively.
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Uncertainty analysis for an effluent trading system in a typical nonpoint-sources-polluted watershed.
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However, if the uncertainty factor is set as 1.1, a decreasing trend in the total abatement load could be observed, indicating a more cost-effective ETS market.