Epidemiological analysis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China with the seasonal-trend decomposition method and the exponential smoothing model.

Analytic results demonstrated a favorable trend of HFRS in China, and with obvious periodicity and seasonality, the peak of the annual reported cases in winter concentrated on November to January of the following year, and reported in May and June also constituted another peak in summer.

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The analytic result in this paper, which showed that a decreasing trend was obtained from 2006 to 2015, also indicated that the epidemic trend of HFRS in China was under control, and the prevention and control had attained certain achievements.

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