Modelling the influence of climate on malaria occurrence in Chimoio Municipality, Mozambique.

The regression coefficients β 0 = 0.0701 (SE = 0.0152), β 2 = 0.0370 (SE = 0.0065), β 3 = 0.0194 (SE = 0.0056) and β 6 = 0.0008 (SE = 0.0003) were marginally statistically significant at P = 0.05 and R 2 = 0.726.

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Figure 5a suggests increasing variability in the malaria cases series along with a slightly increasing trend suggesting both first non-seasonal and seasonal differences might be necessary to turn the series weakly stationary.

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