Trend analysis of mortality rates and causes of death in children under 5 years old in Beijing, China from 1992 to 2015 and forecast of mortality into the future: an entire population-based epidemiological study.

All mortality rates exhibited an overall trend of significant decline ( χ N M R 2 = 3200.17 , P N M R < 0.01 ; χ I M R 2 = 3029.94 , P I M R < 0.01 ; χ U 5 M R 2 = 4514.08 , P U 5 M R < 0.01 ), with reductions by 84.06%, 80.04% and 80.17% during the period under investigation.

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With respect to all causes of death, deaths due to neural tube defects showed a decline by 98.94%, which was the greatest reduction observed; however, deaths due to endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases showed an increasing trend by as much as 110.70%.

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