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Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A · 2018 · PMC6294899 · PMID 30463945

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
This is not the case in the data-driven model, where we find a nonmonotonous behavior: an increasing trend over the initial phase of the epidemic occurs followed by a marked decrease about 20 d before the epidemic peak ( Fig. 2 A ).

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