Computation of Trend Estimates in PISA In the literature on trend analysis in international large-scale assessments, the original trend is distinguished from a marginal trend ( Gebhardt and Adams, 2007 ; see also Carstensen, 2013 ; Sachse et al., 2016 ).
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Reanalysis of the German PISA Data: A Comparison of Different Approaches for Trend Estimation With a Particular Emphasis on Mode Effects.
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In panel C, there is a decreasing trend in the PBA mode, but the trend in the CBA mode remains constant.
It is evident that the average item difficulty of this group decreased significantly from 2003 to 2012 (−0.18 to 0.01 = −0.19 logits), indicating that there was a positive trend in mathematics over the 9 years.