Early characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak predict the subsequent epidemic scope.

Int J Infect Dis · 2020 · PMC7266579 · PMID 32502662

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highly significantno p-value reported

Table 2 demonstrates a highly significant correlation between the predicted ranking of epidemic size per million population based on the ‘time from 30-to-100’ and CFR-100 and the actual ranking of epidemic size (Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test, p < 0.0001, r = 0.7627).

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