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Modelling and predicting the spatio-temporal spread of cOVID-19 in Italy.

BMC Infect Dis · 2020 · PMC7509829 · PMID 32967639

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
The first graph shows that the temporal evolution of the number of daily infections has followed an increasing trend until the end of March, which was then followed by a first slow decrease and then by a more rapid decline, according to the desired effect of control measures.

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