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Reconciling model predictions with low reported cases of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa: insights from Madagascar.

Glob Health Action · 2020 · PMC7580764 · PMID 33012269

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
The current wave of infections has a decreasing trend, having peaked in late July, while the earliest peak in our scenarios was in October 2020.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.