Real-time naive case fatality rates can reflect timeliness of case confirmation during pandemics.

J Infect Public Health · 2020 · PMC7834892 · PMID 32798184

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported

It’s worth noting that deaths must occur later than cases when outbreaks begin, which would result in a decreasing trend.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.