The means of predicted values are found to be 2.48 for US, 22.28 for NY and 1.68 for ND, which suggests the inflection point, where R t stabilizes below 1 afterwards, has not been reached yet, especially for the NY case, where instead of having a decreasing trend, an increasing R t actually emerges over time.
← all excerpts
Toward the Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions and Vaccination on the COVID-19 Pandemic With Time-Dependent SEIR Model.
1
—
—