Trend Analysis and Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Ethiopia Using Box-Jenkins Modeling Procedure.

Int J Gen Med · 2021 · PMC8071087 · PMID 33907451

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highly significantno p-value reported

The model was then estimated with its forecasting parameter for the daily confirmed and recovered series of COVID-19 in Ethiopia ( Tables 4 and 5 ). Examining the estimation results for confirmed cases, we see that the MA (1) coefficient is 0.88, the MA (2) coefficient is −0.343, and the MA (5) is −0.249 which are highly significant.

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