Forecasting COVID-19 Hospital Census: A Multivariate Time-Series Model Based on Local Infection Incidence.

JMIR Public Health Surveill · 2021 · PMC8341089 · PMID 34346897

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a positive trendno p-value reported

While peak infection incidence typically leads peak infection prevalence, in the absence of definitively knowing either peak date, we took a conservative approach and linearly extrapolated incidence with a positive trend up to the expected pandemic peak.

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