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COVID-19: Estimation of the transmission dynamics in Spain using a stochastic simulator and black-box optimization techniques.

Comput Methods Programs Biomed · 2021 · PMC8418989 · PMID 34607036

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
It is natural to assume that the function R i ( t ) follows a decreasing trend in the first months of the epidemic, basically due to two reasons: (i) quarantine policies have been systematically introduced along with different countries and regions.

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