A new approach for location-specific seasonal outlooks of typhoon and super typhoon frequency across the Western North Pacific region.

For STYs, no significant trends were observed, but an increasing trend in STY frequency was observed for China (0.22 STYs/decade), Hong Kong (0.59 STYs/decade) and Japan (0.40 STYs/decade).

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Of the eight regions considered, seven have a decreasing trend in TY + STY counts, three of which are statistically significant (≥ 90% confidence level), including the WNP (− 1.27 TY + STY/decade), the Philippines (− 0.76 TY + STY/decade) and Thailand (− 0.56 TY + STY/decade) (Fig. 6 ).

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