Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Prediction of Mortality of Type 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease in China: A Modeling Study.

Although there has been an increasing trend in DKD burden in China across time ( 7 , 9 – 11 ), the approaches used in previous studies fail to differentiate the relative contribution of period and cohort effects to overall time trends, which hinders us from evaluating the success of earlier policy interventions.

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However, there were significant differences in the distribution of DKD deaths across age groups, with more occurring in the older age groups and a continued increase in the older age groups (above 60 years), but a decreasing trend in the younger age groups (under 50 years).

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