Barely Significant
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Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting.

BMC Public Health · 2021 · PMC8605461 · PMID 34801014

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highly significantp < .001actually significant
Because the crowd Brier scores were very skewed (1.37), a Wilcoxon Signed-Ranks Test was run and the output indicated that the crowd aggregation advantage over chance forecasting was highly significant (Z = 1774; p < .001).

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