Analyzing driving forces of China's carbon emissions from 1997 to 2040 and the potential emission reduction path: through decomposition and scenario analysis.

The results showed that (1) as the reduction in energy intensity cannot offset the growth of industrial scale, the carbon emissions of all industries have shown an increasing trend from 1997 to 2017; (2) In the current policies scenario, China's carbon emissions cannot reach the peak before 2040.

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