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Modeling Early Phases of COVID-19 Pandemic in Northern Italy and Its Implication for Outbreak Diffusion.

Front Public Health · 2021 · PMC8716563 · PMID 34976909

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an increasing trendno p-value reported
It is quite likely that these movements would have shown an increasing trend in April, thus reducing the apparent divergence between prediction and data from March 30 onward in the graph.

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