A COVINDEX based on a GAM beta regression model with an application to the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy.

In fact, if at the end of the June the COVINDEX curve seems to suggest a resumption of the pandemic, the \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_t$$\end{document} R t index continues to show a decreasing trend This behaviour can also be seen in other time periods, as discussed below.

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