Performance of early warning signals for disease re-emergence: A case study on COVID-19 data.

PLoS Comput Biol · 2022 · PMC9000113 · PMID 35353809

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an increasing trendno p-value reported

These findings confirm that, in a controlled setting that satisfy the modelling assumptions (Luxembourg), an increasing trend of the variance in the vicinity of the transition point could serve as early warning to detect the transition to disease emergence.

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