COVID-19: An analysis on official reports in Iran and the world along with some comparisons to other hazards

Computers in Earth and Environmental Sciences · 2021 · PMC9281556

Europe PMC

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported

40 It is worth noting that a turning point means that after passing the peak, it is expected to show a decreasing trend.

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an increasing trendno p-value reported

The analysis of death cases obtained from the ARIMA model showed an increasing trend with significant volatility, indicating that measures taken to cope with outbreaks such as widespread quarantine have not been successful enough.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.