How large should the next study be? Predictive power and sample size requirements for replication studies.

Stat Med · 2022 · PMC9325423 · PMID 35396714

Europe PMC DOI

hedged sentence

0.0500

closest p · 1.0× alpha

0.0500

boldest claim

The sentences

marginally significantP = . 05actually significant

We find that an exact replication of a marginally significant result with P = . 05 has less than 30% chance of again reaching significance.

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