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HIV-1 mother-to-child transmission in Brazil (1994-2016): a time series modeling.

Braz J Infect Dis · 2019 · PMC9427819 · PMID 31344355

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a decreasing trendno p-value reported
We termed a “good” prognostic if (1) the forecast indicated a decreasing trend in the prevalence AND (2) the “true” values were lower than the predicted.

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Quoted from the open-access full text in Europe PMC under the licence the publisher applied. The sentence is reproduced exactly as published; the emphasis is ours.