Lumpy Skin Disease Outbreaks in Africa, Europe, and Asia (2005-2022): Multiple Change Point Analysis and Time Series Forecast.

Viruses · 2022 · PMC9611638 · PMID 36298758

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an increasing trendno p-value reported

For Africa, both ARIMA and NNAR predict an increasing trend of LSD outbreaks, whereas for Europe, both models predict that outbreaks will stabilize.

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