The estimates after 1970 stay consistently above the upper limit of the confidence interval and show an increasing trend, and we thus conclude that the system is moving toward the tipping point with high probability.
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Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.
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The sentences
This is a stronger result than just observing a significant trend in the EWS by, say, Kendall’s τ test 27 , 33 .