Time series analyses based on the joint lagged effect analysis of pollution and meteorological factors of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and the construction of prediction model.

Discussion From the time series and seasonal decomposition of the incidence of HFRS in Shenyang, combined with studies in various regions of China [ 37 ], it can be seen that there is a clear seasonal trend in the incidence of HFRS in China, with a decreasing trend year upon year.

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The effect values of wind speed and SO 2 on HFRS cases at lags 0 and 16 days showed a trend of increasing and then decreasing RR, with RR values in the range of 2-4m/s and 200–250μg/m 3 , respectively.

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